Convention Preview: Republicans and Democrats On Israel​

This is the second in a series of insights we’ll be providing on different policy platform fights in the weeks leading up to the Republican and Democratic National Conventions.

Here’s What You Need to Know

The Republican and Democratic party platform positions on U.S.-Israeli relations are going to produce two very different debates at the conventions in Cleveland and Philadelphia. On the one hand, the Democratic Party will clash over how politely to ridicule Israel, while the Republican Party will consider altering its platform to provide greater deference to Israel on the path towards peace.

  • Bernie’s Spoilers: Bernie Sanders and his progressive wing of the Democratic Party may have lost the primary but they still have two seats on the DNC platform committee which they have opted to fill with Princeton professor Cornell West and Arab American Institute President James Zogby, both noted critics of Israel.
  • DNC Storm Warning: Last weekend the DNC platform committee produced a preliminary draft of their position on Israel. Despite calls from progressives like West and Zogby for language to describe settlements in the West Bank as an “occupation” and to refute Israel’s claim to Jerusalem, the current draft mostly maintains the centrist stances supported by Hillary Clinton and her allies. Despite the present victory, however, the centrists aren’t out of the woods yet since the committee will meet again to debate the draft later this month and nothing is official until it passes a vote on the convention floor giving progressives several more opportunities to alter the platform language on Israel.
  • Where Do The DNC Delegates Stand? Bernie Sanders’ pro-Palestinian rhetoric from the campaign trail has emboldened the left-wing of the Democratic Party to even more vocally push for official positions that are critical of Israel. It should not be forgotten that anti-Israeli sentiment was notably present at the last DNC Convention. The truth is that even if you believe Hillary Clinton is centrist and reasonably pro-Israel, poll after poll shows the party she hopes to represents no longer is. Many delegates in Philadelphia would commend Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, despite his virulently anti-Semitic remarks, while criticizing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
  • Meanwhile, In Cleveland: In contrast, the GOP’s debate will be a quintessentially Jewish one: the platform language is good, but, it could always be better. Spurred by groups like the Iron Dome Alliance, GOP delegates on the platform committee may consider changing the party position to make explicitly clear that the U.S. will not force or pressure the Israeli government to take steps it does not deem appropriate toward achieving peace and security. Currently, the party officially supports a two-state solution regardless of Israeli policy and does not explicitly reject the application of U.S. diplomatic pressure to achieve it. The proposed changes would bring the party more in line with GOP nominee Donald Trump’s position that the U.S. should not dictate terms while serving as an arbiter of Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.

Despite suggestions by some, mostly left-leaning news outlets like the Jewish Forward, that Republicans will face a nasty fight over their position on Israel, it will in fact be a friendly debate over how best to support Israel’s security and prosperity. Meanwhile, the potential for vocal and nasty opposition to the diminishing centrist Democrats’ putatively pro-Israel positions could be just another in a long list of issue areas Hillary Clinton will need to worry about during a convention nominating her while solidifying in a new progressive era in Democratic politics.

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News You Can Use

THIS IS WHY YOU ALWAYS VET
Michael Levin was recently surprised to see images of him and his family in Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s latest video attack on Donald Trump. Not only did neither Warren nor the video’s producers at MoveOn.org ever ask Levin for permission to use the images, Levin actually voted for Donald Trump in the Republican primary. Had anyone cared to vet the images or people being featured in the video, this snafu could have been avoided, but that’s why you always vet the people and images in your videos.

EU EXODUS?
Following last week’s historic vote by the United Kingdom to leave the European Union, many have begun questioning whether these types of referendums are going to begin spreading. Will we see a Oustria? Czechout? Departugal? French National Front leader Marine Le Pen has already called for similar referendums in France and across the EU. Nationalist leaders in the Netherlands also began to push for a referendum on EU membership. As the dust of Brexit settles and the long-term impact of the decision becomes more clear, it is likely other European countries may take the British lead and let their people decide the fate of the Union. What is driving this push? As U.K. Independence Party leader Nigel Farage noted to the EU Parliament after the vote, “The main reason the United Kingdom voted the way that it did is you have by stealth, by deception, without ever telling the truth to the British or the rest of the peoples of Europe, you have imposed upon them a political union … When the people in 2005 in the Netherlands and France voted against that political union … you simply ignored them …”

SO MANY QUESTIONS
Here at Delve, we believe that small details can make big things happen. In a recent example of this belief, The Daily Caller’s Chuck Ross picked up on a local Arizona news station asking why “Attorney General Loretta Lynch met with former President Bill Clinton for a half-hour on her government airplane at the Phoenix airport on Tuesday.” The Attorney General claims Clinton “spoke to myself and my husband on the plane. Our conversation was a great deal about his grandchildren. He mentioned the golf he played in Phoenix.” Given the scrutiny his wife is under by her department, however, such a claim leaves us skeptical. Not to mention, why were they using an official, government-owned plane for a social call? Why was her husband traveling with her? And does anyone really believe they just spoke about grandkids and golf? 

AWOL IN THE RECOVERY
Poor, prime-aged men (ages 25-54) without college degrees are disappearing from the U.S. labor force by the millions. Altogether, 10 million American men are either unemployed or have given up the search for jobs. This disappearance is largely due to the decline in sectors typically dominated by male workers like manufacturing and construction. Bloomberg View analyst Conor Sen recently wrote that housing would be the dominant economic force over the next five years, but questioned where the U.S. economy could find 500,000 construction workers tomorrow. Could these millions of missing men be the answer to that question, with a resurgent housing construction market allowing them to reenter the workforce?

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STATE OF THE BRUSSELS PRESS CORPS
A recent survey of Brussels-based journalists offers lessons for all of those who deal with reporters. The EU press corps’ number one complaint of their public relations and media counterparts was that they were “too evasive.” Other criticisms at the top of the list included failure to contact reporters in a timely fashion, inability to provide usable quotes, and mixed or unclear messaging. PR professionals should also take note that the survey found that more than half the reporters claimed to receive over 20 press releases a day, meaning to get their attention a release better be eye-catching.

IS THE RIGHT BEING IGNORED BY POLITICAL SCIENTISTS?
Academic studies on political persuasion have become all the rage today, but a recent examination by Maggie Koerth-Baker at FiveThirtyEightdiscovered that the questions posed by those researching this subject area are almost always liberal ones. Researchers claim “their own interests and personal connections more easily lead them to questions and collaborators on the liberal side.” But until academia expresses an interest in and willingness to collaborate with the Right, any study claiming to dissect how American voters are persuaded on particular issues is going to fall short of understanding how a large portion of the electorate actually thinks about and discusses the issues of our time.

BREXIT’S FOREIGN POLICY REVOLUTION
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Mark Your Calendars

Monday, July 18 – Thursday, July 21: Republican National Convention in Cleveland
Monday, July 25 – Thursday, July 28: Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia